Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 4.016412 4.637441 5.322830 6.135443 7.072841 8.120580 9.381055
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 3.081332 3.867703 4.809886 6.022346 7.542382 9.386704 11.797499
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 2.404079 3.244524 4.325926 5.820296 7.834409 10.459170 14.147489
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 2.029469 2.922569 4.147447 5.951674 8.546469 12.151698 17.557861
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 1.672504 2.553795 3.834138 5.832092 8.879146 13.365289 20.500119
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 1.514312 2.439528 3.856413 6.187441 9.938812 15.763129 25.540113
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 1.358092 2.298308 3.809611 6.419873 10.833694 18.029845 30.725988
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 1.191395 2.110193 3.654737 6.445293 11.385276 19.812439 35.382752
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.997743 1.843634 3.326070 6.118997 11.278570 20.459279 38.167083
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.924421 1.777934 3.333793 6.383605 12.249838 23.112996 44.937349
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.885111 1.768130 3.438933 6.839494 13.635591 26.706175 54.000802
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.814670 1.686820 3.396267 7.001415 14.472128 29.364229 61.623065
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.735852 1.580388 3.296332 7.048990 15.118417 31.803556 69.325737
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.639952 1.423726 3.072362 6.806270 15.126965 32.949787 74.505995
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.553765 1.274357 2.841338 6.511643 14.975689 33.730877 79.007677
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.510396 1.213821 2.793743 6.617418 15.734162 36.613638 88.754652
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.453598 1.113362 2.641964 6.459610 15.858521 38.078419 95.404407
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.437981 1.108777 2.710898 6.837268 17.320280 42.885732 110.983469
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.415253 1.083090 2.725655 7.083956 18.497348 47.181054 125.981935
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.382342 1.026386 2.655929 7.105670 19.105025 50.149478 138.020283
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.334105 0.922068 2.450764 6.742060 18.644973 50.312006 142.558377
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.321174 0.910994 2.486382 7.031378 19.994813 55.450456 161.716786
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.317653 0.925503 2.592444 7.532215 22.012393 62.704793 188.121365